
Sebastian Trujillo
Director of Product Marketing, TRC Consultants LC
Sebastian Trujillo examines what AI can and cannot do in upstream reserves work, where it's moving faster than the standards built to govern it. Drawing on direct tool testing and SEC enforcement history, he gives engineers a clear framework to separate real capability from marketing claims. The engineer signs the report, not the AI.
EXPERTISE: Software Commercialization | B2B Marketing | Leveraging Generative AI and LLMs for Search Marketing
AI Can't Sign Your Reserve Report: Defensibility, Accountability, and the Limits of AI in Reserves Work
AI tools are entering upstream reserves workflows faster than the professional standards to govern them. This session provides an honest, evidence-based examination of what AI can and cannot do, and why in reserve estimation, decline curve analysis, and economic evaluation, the consequences of incorrect answers are professionally and financially significant.
Drawing on direct technical evaluation of AI forecasting tools currently in the market, structured review of SPE literature, SEC enforcement history, and enterprise AI deployment data, this session gives reserves professionals the framework and the specific questions they need to separate genuine capability from marketing claims.
The engineer’s name is on the reserve report. The AI’s is not. This session is about what that means for your practice, your credibility, and your clients.
Sebastian Will Cover
- The accountability chain in reserves estimation and where AI currently fits
- Live technical evaluation of AI-powered decline curve analysis tools in the market today
- The five failure modes that disqualify AI output from SEC filings, third-party audits, and A&D transactions
- The reproducibility problem unique to large language model-based tools
- The Dmin problem: how a single hidden assumption silently swings EUR by 20 to 30% and NPV10 by millions
- What peer-reviewed literature actually shows versus what vendors claim
- Ten questions every engineer should ask before trusting any AI reserves tool
- A professional framework for AI assistance versus AI accountability
Who is this session for?
Qualified Reserves Evaluators, petroleum engineers, geoscientists, A&D professionals, and anyone whose name goes on a reserve estimate.
2026 Session
Qualified Reserves Evaluators, petroleum engineers, geoscientists, A&D professionals, and anyone whose name goes on a reserve estimate.
September 14-18
Full schedule releases July 4th
35-45 Minutes
Solo Presentation
Live Streaming
Replay available after event
Sebastian Trujillo
Director of Product Marketing, TRC Consultants LC
Sebastian Trujillo is the Director of Product Marketing at TRC Consultants, where he focuses on how emerging technology, including AI, intersects with professional standards in upstream reserves work. He has conducted direct technical evaluation of AI-powered forecasting and decline curve analysis tools currently in the market, examining where they genuinely add value and where they fall short of professional requirements.
His work draws on structured review of SPE literature, SEC enforcement history, and enterprise AI deployment data, giving him a grounded view of the gap between vendor marketing claims and what these tools can actually deliver in reserve estimation, economic evaluation, and reporting workflows.
Sebastian helps reserves professionals build a practical framework for evaluating AI tools separating genuine capability from hype and understanding where accountability ultimately rests when a reserve report is signed.
Career Timeline
Jun 2022 - Present
Director of Product Marketing
TRC Consultants, LC
Oct 2009 – Present
Founder
Empower Ecommerce LLC
Oct 2020 - Present
Venture Scout
Clearco
Licenses & certifications
Extract, Transform and Load Data in Power BI
Microsoft · Issued Mar 2025
Core Expertise
AI EVALUATION IN RESERVES WORK
Direct technical testing of AI-powered decline curve analysis tools currently in the market.
DEFENSIBILITY & ACCOUNTABILITY
The accountability chain in reserves estimation, and the failure modes that disqualify AI output from SEC filings and audits.
AI VS PROFESSIONAL JUDGMENT
A practical framework for AI assistance versus AI accountability in reserve estimation and economic evaluation.
Questions This Session Answers
- What is an AI model actually doing when it produces a forecast, and does that meet an engineering standard?
- When a tool claims to reason or think, does that change what the output is worth?
- Why can the same well data produce a different answer on the next run?
- Can an AI tool make the judgment calls a defensible forecast requires, like anchor point and boundary dominated flow?
- Can it tell you when its own fit is wrong?
- Can it produce an estimate that survives a third-party audit?
- When the number is wrong, who is accountable?
- Where does AI genuinely help in reserves work, and where does it not?
- Will better models fix these problems, or are they structural?
- What should you ask any vendor before trusting an AI reserves tool?